Monthly data
Period: B = baseline (builds the model) · R = reporting (savings measured against the model). Driver = production units, tonnes, DJU/HDD, hours…
| Month | Period | Driver (X) | Energy kWh (Y) | Predicted | Diff |
|---|
Actual vs baseline model
CUSUM of savings (kWh)
Method: ordinary least squares on baseline months; savings(month) = predicted − actual; CUSUM = running sum of savings over the reporting period (a rising CUSUM = real, persistent savings; a flat/falling one = drift). Validity checks: R² ≥ 0.75 and ≥ 10–12 baseline points recommended (ISO 50006, IPMVP).